EBBF: This is mostly about large-scale energy projects, which are economically out of the reach of individuals. So is there a role for individual action right now in promoting renewable energy?
Larry: Small-scale renewable energy is important. And not just from a wishful thinking point of view. While on the one hand, if you look at the West’s energy demand, most of it is not for household consumption—so you do need to have wind farms to power paper mills. Industrial scale energy consumption requires industrial scale energy production. But on the other, it makes sense to get individuals using renewable energy. For one, when install renewable energy systems locally, then you are much more aware of it, and you consume less energy. You try to match your consumption with your own production (e.g. doing your laundry when the wind is blowing or when you have plenty of hot water from your solar water heating system. This reduces the need for energy from elsewhere. Secondly, having a small-scale renewable energy device has a symbolic value, reminding us of our need to make a personal contribution to living in a sustainable way. They are symbols of social responsibility. I’m trying to convince folks Irish in government that this is true, and to get them to support local generation, but there isn’t much support yet.
EBBF: So that’s another intersection between values and renewable energy—the values of government officials.
Larry: All we can do is make our case. Some years ago we made a computer model of the Irish economy whose function was to show how the economy could cope with the capital investment required for a transition to sustainable energy. (We only have to do the transition once: then energy prices will be stable, and we won’t be dependent on foreign oil.) One scenario showed the government immediately implementing proactive policies coupled with fossil fuel prices not rising too rapidly in the future. A significant part of the energy from fossil fuels would be invested into making renewable energy equipment, since you require certain energy to make wind turbines, the steel, fiberglass, etc. As the cost of energy rises, so does the equipment price. This scenario was successful, but only if we start right now, and not wait until renewable energy is price-competitive with fossil fuels. Then it is too late, since a) massive capital projects require a long time to implement and b) the capital investment required will be too great for the economy to bear.
In all the other modeled scenarios (e.g. if fossil fuel prices rise rapidly, or if there is no pro-active government action), the economy goes into recession. We presented the model, and nobody took it up.
EBBF: Why not?
Larry: My take is that we were engineers telling the economists what to do. So we were guilty of the crime of practicing economics without a license. The proposal currently is gathering dust in the Department of the Environment. I think people just didn’t want to think about it. It seems that present day economics and present day politics are by their nature short-sighted. Making the transition to a sustainable society requires long-term thinking. It is socially prudent to assume the worst case in terms of oil price projections, and plan accordingly. However, economists look at previous price trends and feel they are being conservative by projecting “moderate” price increases, not “radical” price increases. Even if our model is wrong and the peak in world oil production occurs in 20 years instead of two, we will at least be prepared. This is socially prudent and conservative. There is no reason not to act right now, putting into place substantial sustainable energy policies, if you are concerned about the good of humanity.
EBBF: Final question. What do you see as the main shift in values that has to take place in order for people, business, and governments to take up the renewable energy challenge, and the broader challenge of building a more sustainable future?
Larry: So many of our social challenges have a single question at their core: what is the purpose of the human race on this planet? You and I cannot organize any activity without at least some knowledge its purpose. In the Baha’i view, our lives should be spent a) improving our characters so as to be better prepared when we pass on to the next life and b) helping to carry forward an ever-advancing civilization so that future generations can better develop spiritually.
Of course we need material well-being as well, and there is a balance to be found. At the present moment we seem to be exclusively pursuing material well-being, and it’s not working. My career and those of many others show that being service-minded (i.e. trying to behave in a spiritual way) brings material benefits as well. I believe that as people begin to understand their role as servants to society, then we will be happy to make the necessary sacrifices to bring about a sustainable planetary civilization.
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